Saturday, October 26, 2019

All About Public-Private Partnership


1.      What is a PPP?
PPP is a mode of project implementation where the government enters into a long-term partnership with private entities to fund, undertake and deliver public services and accelerate infrastructure development while at the same ensuring reasonable profit for the latter’s investment. Its success depends on the terms and conditions for ensuring quality and quantity of the project as well as risk-sharing.
2.      On funding and implementation strategies. How government projects are normally financed and implemented?

THREE (3) BASIC MODALITIES
Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) and Variants
·         TRANSFER IMMEDIATELY
1.         Build and Transfer (BT)
2.         Build-Transfer-and-Operate (BTO)
·         TRANSFER AFTER COOPN PERIOD
1.         Build-Lease-and-Transfer (BLT)
2.         Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT)
3.         Contract-Add-and-Operate (CAO)
4.         Develop-Operate-and-Transfer (DOT)
5.         Rehabilitate-Operate-and-Transfer (ROT)
·         NO TRANSFER
1.         Build-Own-and-Operate (BOO)
2.         Rehabilitate-Own-and-Operate (ROO)
3.         Other variations: approved by the President
4.         Joint Ventures (JVs)
5.         Concession Agreement

3.      Based on your basic understanding on PPP as a tool for project implementation. Who are the normal Implementing/ Procuring Agencies for PPP projects?
·           National Government Agency
·           Government-owned and Controlled Corporation
·           Government Financial Institution
·           Local Government Units
·           Partnerships: PPP/BOT or JV
·           Private Investors
4.      Based on your understanding, why pursue PPPs in urban plan implementation?
·         To deliver basic public services which require big financing cost
·         To accelerate infrastructure development in the country
·         To encourage private sector participation in the economic development of the country.
5.      Based on your understanding, who normally pays for PPP projects?

      Sources of Funding for PPP Projects
·         Commercial loans
·         Foreign investment
·         Investment bank
·         Bonds and stocks may be floated by LGU
·         Mutual funds
·         Interpersonal loans
·         Supporting resources
·         ODA – Official Development Assistance (grant or loan)

6.      Enumerated are the normal possible projects under PPP for your easy understanding and guidelines. In your own words, explain each type and please limit answer to a paragraph for each type:

      A. Hard Projects – are physical infrastructure projects like the following:
·           Highways, including expressways, roads, bridges, interchanges, tunnels, and related facilities;
·           Railways or rail-based projects that may or may not be packaged with commercial development opportunities;
·           Non-rail based mass transit facilities, navigable inland waterways and related facilities;
·           Port infrastructures like piers, wharves, quays, storage, handling, ferry services and related facilities;
·           Airports, air navigation, and related facilities;
·           Power generation, transmission, sub-transmission, distribution, and related facilities;
·           Telecommunications, backbone network, terrestrial and satellite facilities and related service facilities;
·           Information technology (IT) and data base infrastructure, including modernization of IT, geo-spatial resource mapping and cadastral survey for resource accounting and planning;
·           Irrigation and related facilities;
·           Water supply, sewerage, drainage, and related facilities;
·           Education and health infrastructure;
·           Land reclamation, dredging and other related development facilities;
·           Industrial and tourism estates or townships, including ecotourism projects such as terrestrial and coastal/marine nature parks, among others and related infrastructure facilities and utilities;


      B. Soft Projects – are physical projects that are necessary in the delivery of services like health, education etc. Under PPP, these include the following:
·         Government buildings, housing projects;
·         Markets, slaughterhouses, and related facilities;
·         Warehouses and post-harvest facilities;
·         Public fishports and fishponds, including storage and processing facilities;
·         Environmental and solid waste management related facilities such as, but not limited to, collection equipment, composting plants, landfill and tidal barriers, among others; and
·         Climate change mitigation and adaptation infrastructure projects and related facilities.

      C. Bundling – is a combination or a package of soft and hard projects. For example, reclamation project which is a hard project combined with a soft project like socialized housing.

7.In your own understanding from all the readings I sent on PPP as a major tool for urban plan implementation, what influence the determination of the usual contract life for a PPP project?

The contract life of a PPP project depends on the ability of the project proponent to recover its investment and maintenance and operating expenses which can be raised by collecting tolls, fees, rentals or other charges from facility users.

8.      Enumerated are the typical risks in PPP. In your own word, explain each risk (Note: please limit answer to a paragraph for each risk):

A.            Policy and Political
Change in political landscape or change in leadership may mean policy changes as well. Risks in this area may involve government not honoring contracts. Worst case scenario is when the government nationalizes or expropriate the project for whatever reason.

B.             Economic and Fiscal
Currency and interest rates pose a threat to PPP projects. Weakening of the currency and the increase in interest rates mean an adjustment to the financial obligation of the implementing agency.

C.             Legal and Procedures
Change in law or force majeure may threaten the enforcement of the provisions of the contract.

D.            Environmental and Spatial
Complying with the environmental and spatial regulations may mean additional cost to the project especially that during the implementation stage, the IA is required to prepare and implement the environmental management plan.

9.      In Urban Plan Implementation using PPP as a tool, how are risks spread between parties?
Normally, risk is allocated to parties that has the most capacity to cope up, control and mitigate it. In so far as legislation and government policies are concerned, it is the government that take risks. For project’s operation, it is the private sector. At the start of project implementation, risks allocation should be clearly emphasized in the contract. If risk allocation is not clearly defined, a conflict might arise later.


10.  How are risks assessed in terms of certainty and impact based on a) Likelihood and b) Significance?

Risks are assessed based on the following areas including market, technical, financial, economic, distributional analyses. There specific matrices being used to determine the certainly and impact of risks.



Principles of Urban Design


1.       Design for All
Urban design should involve people, local communities and those likely to move in

2.       Create places for people
For places to be well-used and well-loved, they must be safe, comfortable, varied and attractive. Vibrant places offers opportunities for meeting people.

3.       Conserve heritage
New developments should conserve monuments, groups of buildings, or sites of cultural importance and natural features.

4.       Enrich the existing
New developments should enrich and complement existing places.

5.       Make connections
Places need to be accessible and integrated with their surroundings.

6.       Work with nature
Places must balance the nature and the man-made environment

7.       Mix uses and forms
Stimulating enjoyable and convenient places

8.       Manage the investment
For projects to be well cared of, they must be economically viable, well managed and maintained

9.       Design for change
New developments needs to be flexible enough to respond to future changes in use.

Reference: Site and Area Planning Development(ppt.) prepared by Arch/EnP. Kurt A. Capate


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Green Growth


The following is the step by step process by which we can integrate green growth in the development plan, as follows:
Step 1 – Getting Organized
Consider Biodiversity Integration Activities Resource Inventory/Mapping Management Planning
Step 2 – Identifying Stakeholder
Include PAMB and other local Stakeholders; LEIPO, DTI, Business Membership Org./Industry Asso.
Step 3 – Setting the Vision
Consider as one of the Vision Elements and Descriptors
Step 4 – Analyzing the Situation
What are the issues and concerns that needs to be addressed (to be incorporated in analysis matrix)
Know your Protected Areas and Critical Habitats/biodiversity; summary report/profile of key sectoral/thematic areas :
- socio-economic
-demographic
-income
-production
-land use resource conditions
-ecological/environmental
-settlements
Step 5 – Setting the Goals and Objectives
Health and safe communities
Food Security
Well manage and sustainable use of land and its resources and access to all infrastructure services
A convenient, equitable, healthful, attractive environment and disaster resilient communities
Good governance

Step 6 – Establishing Development Thrust and Spatial Strategies
Siting/locating agriculture and forest production areas; the development of infrastructure, settlements and other uses like industries, commercial areas are important for sustainable environmental growth and development. Sectoral development activities should be aligned with biodiversity conservation concerns and other spatial strategies. 
Two concerns under CLUP Step 6 :
Sectoral economic development thrusts, and Spatial development strategies as basis for land use planning
Structural map from this step contains the general location of development areas, conservation areas influencing the proposed major infrastructure projects as indicated by the:  direction of urban expansion  proposed circulation system and growth areas/nodes
Step 7 - Preparing the Land Use Plan:  Determining the location and extent of PA/KBA/CH,  MPA and critical watersheds; the economic development
The land use plan is the major interpretation of the agreed vision, goals and objectives, development thrust, and spatial strategies. 
The proposed land use map should contain the location and extent of the delineated PA/KBA and critical watersheds and MPAs.
- a map reflects the location/extent of the economic development/s
- Green growth strategies and policies
- List of green growth programs and projects towards sustainable economic growth

Source:
Estur, Zenaida, Presentation & Discussion on Basic Concepts & Principles-Orientation on the Enhanced CLUP Guidebooks ppt., 2016

Demographic Study


Relevance of Demographic Studies in Land Use Planning
       The center of all our planning effort is the people. We are much concerned about their various current and future needs. These growing needs for goods and services spell the need to determine specific and sufficient spaces for land and their efficient uses for the people to experience quality of life. One must also understand that it is the people that cause environmental and land use issues and problems. It is also the people that have the capacity to manage the resources.
       To ensure that this demand for land will be efficiently addressed, it is important that demographics should be carefully studied, specifically, the current figures, the characteristics or attributes of the population of a particular area, its growth and movement or trend, as these shape land uses encompassing years and decades.
       To come up with various alternatives and decisions in land use planning, knowledge about the demographics by the planners and the community will be most useful.

Population Projection
       Population projection is necessary to determine the trend in increase of population in the coming years, say five or ten years or more. This is important so as to determine the corresponding increase in demand for economic goods, social services, infrastructures support and land for various uses. With these calculations, planners and the decision-makers will be able to make some assumptions as to what will be the issues and concerns that would crop up in the future and as early as today prevent such future problems. These will also help them assess as to how much resources or fund should be raised to efficiently address such future needs. In other words, population projection helps planners and the decision makers come up with a solution before the arrival of a problem.

Two methods for Projecting Future Population
          There are different methods of projecting future population. However, the HLURB CLUP Guide suggests the combined use of Geometric and Participation Rate methods as discussed below:

a. Geometric Method is a computation of three factors including the base population, time interval and population after the given time interval using the formula, Pn = Po (1+r)t where Po = base population of an area, Pn = population of the area t years later, t = time interval in calendar year between Po and Pn , and r = growth rate of population per unit time. To compute growth rate, the formula can be rewritten into, r =( ln [Po / Pn]) / t.
b. Participation Rate Method uses ratio or percent share of a population segment of population to total population as indicated on the sample formula, Participation Rate of working group = Population of 15-64 y. o. / Total Population
Source: CLUP Guidebook Volume 2, 2014, p.183


Different Ways to Visualize Spatial Data


Choosing the right type of visualisation depends on one needs to show (comparison, distribution, composition, or relationship), how much detail the audience needs, and what information the audience needs in order to be successful.
Although the amount of data visualisation options may feel overwhelming, whichever one will choose will be much more comprehensible than raw numbers alone.
2D Area
2D area types of data visualisation are usually geospatial, meaning that they relate to the relative position of things on the earth’s surface.
  1. Cartogram: A cartogram distorts the geometry or space of a map to convey the information of an alternative variable, such as population or travel time. The two main types are area and distance cartograms.

  1. Choropleth: A choropleth is a map with areas patterned or shaded to represent the measurement of a statistical variable, such as most visited website per country or population density by state.

  1.  Dot Distribution Map: A dot distribution or dot density map uses a dot symbol to show the presence of a feature on a map, relying on visual scatter to show spatial pattern.

Temporal
Temporal visualisations are similar to one-dimensional linear visualisations, but differ because they have a start and finish time and items that may overlap each other.

  1. Connected Scatter Plot: A connected scatter plot is a scatter plot, a plot that displays values of two variables for a set of data, with an added line that connects the data series.

  1. Polar Area Diagram: A polar area diagram is similar to a traditional pie chart, but sectors differ in how far they extend from the center of the circle rather than by the size of their angles.

  1. Time Series: A time series is a sequence of data points typically consisting of successive measurements made over a time interval, such as the number of website visits over a period of several months.

Multidimensional
Multidimensional data elements are those with two or more dimensions. This category is home to many of the most common types of data visualisation.

7. Pie Chart: A pie or circle chart is divided into sectors to illustrate numerical proportion; the arc length and angle of each sector is proportional to the quantity it represents.

8. Histogram: A histogram is a data visualisation that uses rectangles with heights proportional to the count and widths equal to the “bin size” or range of small intervals.

9. Scatter Plot: A scatter plot displays values for two variables for a set of data as a collection of points.

Hierarchical
Hierarchical data sets are orderings of groups in which larger groups encompass sets of smaller groups.
10. Dendrogram: A dendrogram is a tree diagram used to illustrate an arrangement of clusters produced by hierarchical clustering. 
11. Ring Chart: A ring or sunburst chart is a multilevel pie chart that visualises hierarchical data with concentric circles.
12. Tree Diagram: A tree diagram or tree structure represents the hierarchical nature of a structure in graph form. It can be visually represented from top to bottom or left to right.
 Network
Network data visualisations show how data sets are related to one another within a network. 
13. Alluvial Diagram: An alluvial diagram is a type of flow diagram that represents changes in network structure over time.
 14. Node-Link Diagram: A node-link diagram represents nodes as dots and links as line segments to show how a data set is connected.
15. Matrix: A matrix chart or diagram shows the relationship between two, three, or four groups of information and gives information about said relationship.


Spatial Data


Fundamental properties are inherent to the nature of attributes as they are distributed across the earth’s surface. There is a fundamental continuity (structure) to attributes in space that derives from the underlying processes that shape the human and physical geographical world. Continuity is also a fundamental property of attributes observed in time. If we know the level of an attribute at one position in space (time) we can make an informed estimate of its level at adjacent locations (points in time). Spatial autocorrelation, in statistical terms, is a second order property of an attribute distributed in geographic space. In addition there may be a mean or first-order component of variation represented by a linear, quadratic, cubic (etc.) trend. We can think of these as two different scales of spatial variation although the distinction may be hard to make and quantify in practice. As Cressie (1991) remarks: ‘What is one person’s (spatial) covariance may be another persons mean structure’ (p. 25). It has often been remarked that spatial variation is heterogeneous. This type of decomposition (plus a white noise element to capture highly localized heterogeneity) is one way of formally capturing that heterogeneity using what are termed ‘global’ models. Another approach is to only analyze spatial subsets, that is allow model structure to vary locally.
(Haining, R. 2009. The Special Nature of Spatial Data (Chapter 2). Spatial Analysis (Handbook). Ed. A.S. Foteringham and P.A. Rogerson. Sage Publications. 6 p.)

Types of GIS Spatial Data
In GIS, spatial data is classified as three main types: point, line, and polygon.

A point is a convenient visual symbol (an X, dot or other graphic), but it does not reflect the real dimensions of the feature. Points may indicate specific locations (such as a given address, or the occurrence of an event) and/or which are usually too small to depict properly at the chosen scale features (such as a building).

A line is a one-dimensional feature with a starting and an ending point. Lines represent linear features, either real (e.g., roads or streams) as in Figure 2.2, or fictitious (e.g., administrative boundaries).

A polygon is an enclosed area, a two-dimensional feature with at least three sides (and therefore with an area). For example, it may represent a parcel of land, agricultural fields, or a political district.

(Fundamentals of GIS Data, Chapter 2, p.1 accessed at http://igre.emich.edu/wsatraining/TManual/Chapter2/Chap2.pdf)



What makes the analysis of spatial data special is the fact that it has always played a central role in the quantitative scientific tradition in geography. In general terms, spatial analysis can be considered to be the formal quantitative study of phenomena that manifest themselves in spare. This implies a focus on location, area, distance and interaction, e.g., as expressed in Tobler's (1979) First Law of Geography, where "everything is related to everything else, but near things are more related than distant things." In order to interpret what "near" and "distant" mean in a particular context, observations on the phenomenon of interest need to be referenced in space, e.g., in terms of points, lines or areal units.
The wide array of philosophical and methodological dilemmas that confront the analysis of spatial data necessitates an eclectic perspective. Many different ways of looking at a data set or at a model specification should be compared, and sensitivity analysis should play a central role. If different approaches yield the same conclusions, one can be fairly confident that meaningful insights have been gained. On the other hand, if the statistical findings turn out to be very sensitive to the approach taken, there is likely to be something wrong with the data and/or with the model and not much faith should be put in the precise quantitative results.

The characteristics of errors that affect observations of spatial data clearly motivate the need for a specialized methodology of spatial statistics and spatial econometrics.
(Anselin, L. 1989. What’s Special about Spatial Data? Spring 1989 Symposium on Spatial Statistics, Past, Present and Future, Department of Geography, Syracuse University.)


  I attended the Intensive Course in Environmental Planning (ICEP) last February 12-16, 2024 conducted by the Planning and Research Foundati...