Thursday, November 2, 2017

Development Theories and Their Influence in Philippine Development Planning

Development Theories and Their Influence in Philippine Development Planning 
by Rodel C. Cuyco



All the development theories through the years have their share of influences in the development planning of the country. Either meagerly or vastly, these theories have influenced our government and political leaders in the performance of their duties being the chief planners and decision-makers of the country in the various stages of its elusive quest for development.
Examining closely these development theories on the basis as to how each of these have lead the country to would give us a perspective as to which of these have influenced most planning in the country, either positively or negatively.
Before delving into how these theories changed the complexion of planning and development in the country, it is important to know where our political leaders have come from. After all, planning and policy-making are basic to their functions.
We all know that the Spanish colonization of our country has led to the emergence of what we usually call the “elite few,” “ruling oligarchs” and political dynasties due to then and even until now extractive political and economic institutions. They have wielded so much power and dictated the direction of politics and economy in the country and perpetuated themselves in their privileged status in the succeeding decades encompassing various development theories within which planning operates.
Development theories are better explained in four strands of thought. First is the linear stages model which emerged in the 50’s and 60’s.  This is an economic theory of development in which the right quantity and mixture of saving, investment, and foreign aid were all that was necessary for a country to develop (Goulet,D.,2003:110). This was being reinforced by Rostow’s stages of development. During this period, the Philippines was a model of development and second only to Japan among East Asian economies. In the 1960s, when South Korea was a land of peasant, the Philippines was one of Asia's industrial powerhouses (Economic History of the Philippines,2017). Judging from this economic status of the country, it can be said that this model was able to positively influence the Philippine plan for development at least for a brief period.

Second, is the theory of structural change in the 70’s which is a development theory which focuses on the transformation of a country’s economy from, mainly, a subsistence agriculture to a modern, urbanized manufacturing and service economy. Third, was the international dependence revolution which also came about in the 70’s which “starts from the notion that resources flow from the ‘periphery’ of poor and underdeveloped states to a ‘core’ of wealthy countries, which leads to accumulation of wealth in the rich states at the expense of the poor states(Miravite,2017).” Unfortunately, no structural change took place. The country has even grown more dependent and held hostage by developed countries plunging it to more impoverishment in the 70’s and 80’s and beyond.

This dependence has continued to flourished with the popularization of neo-classical, (also referred to as neoliberal) free market counter revolution in the 80’s to the 90’s. Neo-classic theorists put their emphasis on the role played by free markets, open economies and privatization of the inefficient enterprises. One of the implications of this theory for developing countries were the Structural Adjustment Programmes (SAPs) which the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund wanted them to adapt. Policies of which include fiscal austerity; government spending; privatization; trade liberalizationcurrency devaluation, among others (Wallerstein, 2017).

These neoliberal policies have defined our Philippine Development Plans. Ever present in these plans are the policies of privatization and deregulation of basic services and goods like water, transportation, communication and oil industry. The fast-paced urbanization of the cities and the over-emphasis on import-driven economy due to trade liberalization at the expense of domestic economy especially of the agriculture sector have all led to development imbalances between rural and urban communities. Such imbalance and inequality have led to the emergence of a myriad of economic, socio-cultural and environmental problems which defined how we do planning in the country today.

Sad to say, these neoliberal policies are here to stay in our plans. It seems that it will continue to rear its ugly head in the recently released Philippine Development Plan for 2017-2022. According to Ibon Foundation, “the Philippines' experience with failed neoliberal policies is clear and consistent with similar failures in the rest of the world. The PDP 2017-2022 is too consistent with its predecessors and will just be the latest in a long line of failed development plans (Africa, 2017).” As in the previous PDPs, it perpetuates asset inequities and income imbalances; it is blind to the urgency of industrial development, and; it turns over vital social services and public utilities to profit-seeking private sector interests (Africa, 2017). These interests are being cascaded in our local plans as we follow vertical planning direction.
In response to this neo-liberal ideology, the concept of economic and environmental sustainability has been gaining adherents lately (Flores, 2017) especially that we are facing now the negative impacts of climate change. These concepts are now starting to gain grounds in our development planning process and have posed big challenge for our planners in the country. Having sustainability at the center of plans will herald the dawning of new development theories that is more pro-people and pro-environment.

References
Africa, Sonny, “Duterte's Development Plan: Recycled, Failed Economic Policies,”  Retrieved from http//www.rappler.com/views/imho/172601-duterte-development-plan-ignores-local-industry accessible-services. Accessed on August 26, 2017.
Development Theory. Retrieved from Wikipedia citing http://eugeniomiravete.com/papers/Infant_Industry_Argument_Miravete01.pdf. Accessed on August 26, 2017

Development Theory. Retrieved from Wikipedia citing http://www.faculty.rsu.edu/users/f/felwell/www/Theorists/Wallerstein/Presentation/Wallerstein.pdf  accessed at article. Accessed on August 26, 2017


Flores, Nelson Forte, “Neo-liberalism in the Philippines.” February 15, 2014. Retrieved from http://manilastandard.net/opinion/columns/everyman/140637/neo-liberalism-in-the philippines.html. Accessed on August 26, 2017

Goulet, D. (2003). Chapter 4: Classical Theories of Development: A Comparative Analysis. In M. Todaro, & S. Smith, Economic Development (pp. 110 -144). Pearson. Retrieved from: http://www.aw-bc.com/info/todaro_smith/Chapter4.pdf



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Development Theories


Classical Theory
·         Classical economics focuses on the growth in the wealth of nations and promotes policies that create national economic expansion.
·         Classical theory assumptions include the beliefs that markets self-regulate, prices are flexible for goods and wages, supply creates its own demand, and there is equality between savings and investments.
Classical theory was developed according to specific economic assumptions:
·         Self-regulating markets: classical theorists believed that free markets regulate themselves when they are free of any intervention. Adam Smith referred to the market's ability to self-regulate as the "invisible hand" because markets move towards their natural equilibrium without outside intervention.
·         Flexible prices: classical economics assumes that prices are flexible for goods and wages. They also assumed that money only affects price and wage levels.
·         Supply creates its own demand: based on Say's Law, classical theorists believed that supply creates its own demand. Production will generate an income enough to purchase all of the output produced. Classical economics assumes that there will be a net saving or spending of cash or financial instruments.
·         Equality of savings and investment: classical theory assumes that flexible interest rates will always maintain equilibrium.
·         Calculating real GDP: classical theorists determined that the real GDP can be calculated without knowing the money supply or inflation rate.
·         Real and Nominal Variables: classical economists stated that real and nominal variables can be analyzed separately.
Source: Boundless. "Classical Theory." Boundless Economics Boundless, 27 May. 2016. Retrieved 21 Aug. 2017 from https://www.boundless.com/economics/textbooks/boundless-economics-textbook/aggregate-demand-and-supply-24/introducing-aggregate-demand-and-aggregate-supply-107/classical-theory-411-12508/

Limitation of Classical Model
The classical model fails to incorporate all those complicated factors which influence the economic development of poor countries. In underdeveloped countries, there is a big shortage of capital. In addition to capital accumulation, the economic development is also influenced by the culture, civilization, traditions and institutional setup of the people. Such all has not been examined in classical model.

Source: http://economicsconcepts.com/classical_model_of_economic_growth.htm

NEOLIBERAL
·         Liberalization. No restrictions to foreign investment. Rule of the Market. Free Trade. Globalization.
·         Deregulation. Reduce rules. Eliminate protectionism; remove tariffs. Do not shield local industries from global competition. ‘Sink or Swim’ to determine efficiency of firms. ‘Safety nets’ are crap.
·         Privatization. Corporatize government services. Sell public assets to private sector.
·         Keep government small. Cut public expenditure for social services; reduce the safety-nets for the poor, thus Cut Taxes.
·         Eliminate the concept of "the public good" and replace it with "individual responsibility.”
*Milton Friedmann and Friedrich von Hayek, Thatcherism and Reagonomics
Limitations
  • Those glaringly obvious negative externalities of an ascendent corporatocracy’s agenda are real…and getting worse…and the inevitable economic train wreck intrinsic to growth-dependent capitalism has already hinted at its impending arrival.
  • Exploitation, war profiteering, structural adjustments, wealth disparity, etc. lead to resentment, alienation, desperation, and quite often rebellion, societal disintegration and terrorism among growing populations in the developing world.
  • The consumer-electorate is becoming increasingly stupefied by their infantilized dependency, and thus are increasingly unable to recognize the hoodwinking spectacle that prevents them from seeing the destructive arc of neoliberal agendas, and medicates them from caring about that destruction even when, for a fleeting instant, they see through the carefully orchestrated deceptions.
  • Pretty much all of the “pros” listed above are a “con” when viewed from the perspective of anyone but wealthy shareholders.
Source: https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-pros-and-cons-of-neoliberalism

NEOCLASSICAL
·         Profit Maximization
·         Utility Maximization
·         Perfect Competition
·         Efficient Markets: Price and Income Determination by Market
·         Agent Sovereignty / Consumer Choice
·         Rule of Marginal Productivity
·         Agglomeration Economies
·         Small Government: Thrift in Public Spending, Annually Balanced Budgets
·         Big Government means More Taxes and Small Government means Less Taxes
·         Less Taxes means Capital has more resources for investment

-      1987 Nobel Laureate Robert M. Solow sums up Neoclassical Theory in "Growth Theory: An Exposition" (1970).

Limitations
1. Narrow in Scope
The neo-classical approach of the theory of economic development is narrow and inadequate.
They assume the existence of such factors as political stability, the “will to develop”, strong habits of thrift, given tastes, adequate supply of trained labour and managerial skill, a high degree of factor mobility and free flow of knowledge between different countries.
Such assumptions have narrowed down the scope of their analysis. According to them, the main determinants of economic development are changes in the size of population, capital stock, natural resources and technology.
They have minimised the significance of non-economic factors as the degree of political stability, the attitude of population, legal and social institutions etc. Marshall himself recognises the limited nature of his theoretical analysis.

2. Economic Development is not Continuous Process:
The neo-classicists believe that economic development is a gradual, continuous and harmonious process and hence they could not correctly analyse the possibilities of cyclical fluctuations in the process of development. Historically, economic development has been a discontinuous process.
This fact should have been recognised by them. They also could not visualise the possibility of disharmony of interest at least in the initial stages of development.

3. Unrealistic Assumptions
Another drawback of the neo-classical analysis is its assumption of full employment which is very unrealistic. Because of this assumption they could not analyse how an economy can be maintained at the full employment level. In the field of capital formation they tend to over-emphasise the importance of interest rate and minimise that of institutional factors.

4. No Importance to the Role of Govt.
The neo-classical could not recognise the important role which government can play in creating conditions for economic development. In the present era intervention of Govt., is must to solve various problems of the UDC’s.

5. Study of Developed Countries Only
Their analysis also suffers from the drawback that they were mainly concerned with their own developed economies and hence their ideas and policies have little relevance for under-developed countries. For instance, their policy of free trade and international specialisation can hardly solve the problems of under-developed countries.

MARXISM
1. It tends to create a system of true equality.
Although Marxism’s system of government is considered as communism, it places an emphasis on human rights, with its foundation encompassing equal gender roles, health care and access to education. As Marx believed, there should be equality before the law and societal services, where everyone has an equal stance and opportunity with no dominant gender. This means that every person would be able to get access to the most important things he needs regardless of whatever he does, wherever he lives or how much he makes to provide a better living for those depending on him.
2. It offers benefits to the society. 
If you look at the Marxist theory, it considers society as a whole, which means that it acknowledges all the social forces involved, including the power interests of different groups. Stressing the role of class struggle or conflict within society between the bourgeoisie and the proletariat, it is effective in explaining change in society. In essence, it organizes society under capitalism, where the bourgeoisie tends to maximize profit with the proletariat.

3. It helps with capitalism.
Ironically, when huge multi-nationals dominate the entire world economy, capital advocates would tell us that the future lies with small businesses or always state that “Small is beautiful”. However, we can consider that the youthful phase of capitalism is gone beyond recall. But as far as Marxism is concerned, free competition inevitably begets monopoly, where the struggle between big and small capitals always yields to the same result. In modern times, the vast power of multi-nationals and monopolies seems to exercise a total stranglehold on the world, holding access to economies of scale, staggering sums of money, ability to manipulate commodity prices and even the influence of government policies. Now, Marxism was able to predict the inevitable tendency towards monopolization, where free competition was a standard.

4. It reduces the tendency of debt. 
Under the Marxist philosophy, communities will be working together to achieve success, where all people would come together to provide for each other, with the help of the government distributing resources as required.

5. It protects the rights of unions. 
Rather than exploiting managers, Marxism encourages unions to stand up for personal rights, creating a system of checks and balances for a maximum production level to be achieved. As it is believed that this philosophy never exploits workers by management, followers believe that unions are definitely a great idea.


NEO-MARXISM
Neo-Marxism theory is an economic theory that the current world economic structure has been systematically implemented by use of a global class division with developing countries being exploited by industrialized nations. Neo-Marxism is often used to describe opposition to inequalities experienced by under developed countries in the global world.

Limitations of Marxism/Neo-Marxism
1. It tries to abolish religion. 
Under Marxism, you would have the freedom to have your own faith, but you would not have the freedom to practice it in a way that is organized. As you can see, religion would ultimately place one group in a superior role over the others, which goes against the equality principle of Marxism. This means that there would be no organized religion, which would affect prominent beliefs followed around the world, including Christianity and Judaism. As Marx felt that religion was used to control people, Marxism would not allow people to be free of choosing their spirituality.
2. It negatively affects the educational system.
It is important to note that Marxist education implements one that is absolutely state- controlled, which means that it regards too much importance to the role of the state in education, which means that the methodology of teaching, curriculum construction and examination system would be determined by the state and it does not allow other agencies in education—local or regional—to have their say. Marxist philosophy on education sees economics lying at the root of every human activity, though this is not absolutely factual on scientific point of view, as economics occupies the pivotal position in the curriculum is one of the main objectives to acquire productive skills, which would result to creative faculties of children being neglected.
3. It does not value the concept of private ownership. 
While you are given a place to live as part of a community and contribute to the common good, you will have no private property ownership, which means that you might not have much control over your residence and your contributions. In Marxism, there will be the idea that private properties and businesses should be abolished, which makes it impossible for anyone to take business advantage of someone else, giving him no reward for working.
4. It limits opportunities for entrepreneurs. 
If you are in doing business under Marxism, then basically, you would be working for the government, which means that are not going to work as an entrepreneur, freelancer or sole business owner because everything would run through the government.
5. It can lead to communism. 
Communism is a possible occurrence in Marxism, as this philosophy is believed to lead to dictatorship. As you can see, it would not allow anyone to be an individual, which is believed to lead to a dangerous society without anybody being motivated.
Source: https://flowpsychology.com/10-marxism-strengths-and-weaknesses/
ECONOMIC BASE THEORY
Economic-base models focus on the demand side of the economy. They ignore the supply side, or the productive nature of investment, and are thus shortrun in approach. This model focuses on regional export activity as the primary determinant of local-area growth

Limitations

While he agreed that this model might do well to explain economic growth in small or highly specialized economies, he argued that it was inadequate to explain the growth of complex urban economies. Blumenfeld was also critical of the policy implications of the model; these focused almost exclusively on supporting existing export industries at the expense of other reasonable alternatives, such as fostering the establishment and development of industries that would compete with imported goods and services. Many regional scientists have concluded that economic base theory lacks the complexity to provide a useful framework for analyzing many regional economic issues and policies.

It should be clear that the economic base model, because it fails to account for some of the fundamental determinants of the regional growth process, should not be adopted for long-range planning and policy analysis. These are the results that led to Richardson's call (cited earlier) for burying economic base models "without prospects for resurrection" (1985, 646).


Source: httpwww.rri.wvu.eduWebBookSchafferChapter%203%20S11%20for%20WVA2.pdf

COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE

Concept in economics that a country should specialize in producing and exporting only those goods and services which it can produce more efficiently (at lower opportunity cost) than other goods and services (which it should import). Comparative advantage results from different endowments of the factors of production (capital, land, labor) entrepreneurial skill, power resources, technology, etc. It therefore follows that free trade is beneficial to all countries, because each can gain if it specializes according to its comparative advantage. Basic concept of international trade theory, it is founded on the work of the UK economist David Ricardo (1772-1823) on comparative cost.



Limitations

The fact is that, as well as being compatible with one of neoclassical economist’s pet theories, extensive evidence supports the protectionism for development idea. Comparative advantage also has numerous other flaws in its applicability to free trade (one of which, the mobility of capital, was actually noted by Ricardo himself). Overall, it is not clear why it retains its status as some sort of irrefutable truth of the benefits of free trade, given that it actually has little to say about what trade policy should or shouldn’t be.
Those advocating protectionist policies are often met with the stock response of ‘you don’t understand the principle of Comparative Advantage’. But it seems to me that economists haven’t put much thought into it themselves, as Comparative Advantage does not necessarily support free trade, particularly in developing countries. In fact, if you accept the ‘infant industry’ argument, it turns out Comparative Advantage has very little to say for developing countries or industry – it is irrelevant.
Perhaps a statement of Comparative Advantage is due. The idea is that every country should produce what it is most efficient at producing, regardless of what other countries produce – that is, each country should allocate its time as efficiently as possible based on its own strengths, resulting in maximum overall production. Trade barriers create extra costs and therefore inefficiency, which is undesirable.
Furthermore, a brief qualification of the ‘infant industry’ argument: as tariffs direct business to new industries by making them comparatively cheaper, they can develop brand loyalty, benefit from economies of scale and lower costs, gain expertise, establish contacts and trust with suppliers and distributors, and benefit from long term investments due to higher short term profits.
The problem is this: if by producing something, an industry can improve its long term ability to carry on producing it, Comparative Advantage becomes irrelevant in the short term. As with much of neoclassical economics, it is a static snapshot and does not capture dynamics like this. For example, if country A produces coke at 100 gallons a year and milk at 150 gallons a year, while country B produces coke at 50 gallons a year and milk at 25 gallons a year, Comparative Advantage is clear – A should produce milk and B should produce coke, even though A has an absolute advantage in both. This results in the highest net production possible.
However, what if country A’s coke industry and country B’s milk industry are new industries? And by producing milk, B can eventually up its milk yields to 200 gallons a year, whilst A could up its coke production to the same? Suddenly Comparative Advantage has nothing to say, and protecting these industries from competition as they develop seems like a good idea in the long run, both for individual countries and for net production as a whole.

Competitive Advantage
In the elaboration of his theory, Porter starts from the following premises (Porter Michael, 1990):

- the nature of the competition and the sources of competitive advantage are very different among industries and even among the segments of the same industry, and a certain country can influence the obtaining of the competitive advantage within a certain sector of industry;

- the globalisation of the competition and the appearance of the trans-national
companies do not eliminate the influence of a certain country for getting the
competitive advantage ; a country can offer different competitive advantages for a company, depending if it is an origin country or a host country;

- the competitivity has a dynamic character (Schumpeter); the innovations have a role of leading force in this permanent change and determine the companies to invest on order not to be eliminated from the market (Negriţoiu Mişu, 1997 ).
Starting from these premises, Porter identifies a system of determinants which is the basis for getting competitive advantages by the nations.

Table 1.1 Meanings of development over time
Period
Perspectives
Meanings of development

1800s
Classical political economy
Remedy for progress, catching up
1870
Latecomers
Industrialization, catching-up
1850
Colonial economics
Resource management, trusteeship
1940
Development economics
Economic growth – industrialization
1950
Modernization theory
Growth, political and social modernization
1960
Dependency theory
Accumulation – national, autocentric
1970
Alternative development
Human flourishing
1980
Human development
Capacitation, enlargement of people’s choices
1980
Neoliberalism
Economic growth – structural reform,
deregulation, liberalization,
privatization
1990
Post-development
Authoritarian engineering, disaster
2000
Millennium Development Goals
Structural reforms
Source: Jan Nederveen Pieterse ,Development Theories Second Edition, SAGE Publication, London 2010 page 7


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